Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.557162 2.724694 2.902762 3.106998 3.335880 3.585780 3.881060
2026-02-08 2.240121 2.460918 2.708016 3.008027 3.366614 3.787055 4.326010
2026-02-15 2.083103 2.333008 2.622102 2.986665 3.442311 4.004894 4.772441
2026-02-22 1.953200 2.219368 2.535107 2.945186 3.476375 4.160916 5.146552
2026-03-01 1.826404 2.097331 2.424725 2.859474 3.438314 4.209941 5.371097
2026-03-08 1.712583 1.982805 2.314107 2.761843 3.371343 4.206836 5.512115
2026-03-15 1.651260 1.929231 2.275576 2.753031 3.419769 4.364168 5.908026
2026-03-22 1.595751 1.879312 2.237701 2.740643 3.459508 4.509374 6.302284
2026-03-29 1.548176 1.836702 2.206213 2.733486 3.503999 4.663249 6.731569
2026-04-05 1.533046 1.835016 2.228032 2.800557 3.660872 5.005856 7.550364
2026-04-12 1.494693 1.800524 2.203209 2.798711 3.712241 5.182577 8.095441
2026-04-19 1.511016 1.839370 2.280109 2.948614 4.011180 5.811523 9.695294
2026-04-26 1.437978 1.757192 2.188709 2.849443 3.913888 5.753789 9.862361
2026-05-03 1.370882 1.681298 2.103755 2.756483 3.821772 5.699433 10.039872
2026-05-10 1.332263 1.642890 2.069950 2.738927 3.852785 5.877031 10.825430
2026-05-17 1.291033 1.599114 2.026187 2.702779 3.848200 5.984479 11.469880
2026-05-24 1.241497 1.541919 1.960489 2.628241 3.770443 5.935866 11.676401
2026-05-31 1.191854 1.483075 1.890272 2.543078 3.667953 5.825707 11.680977
2026-06-07 1.166798 1.458248 1.869124 2.535380 3.703335 6.006974 12.624121
2026-06-14 1.142393 1.433477 1.846952 2.524554 3.731724 6.176966 13.609964
2026-06-21 1.120592 1.411694 1.828305 2.518297 3.767734 6.368864 14.769985
2026-06-28 1.116596 1.415402 1.848106 2.576877 3.931650 6.882601 17.480493
2026-07-05 1.097792 1.396829 1.833000 2.575267 3.978034 7.123726 19.271801